Guides 3 min read
Expected points explained: inside the FPLRogue model
How to interpret FPLRogue expected points, playing time and displayed ranges, with a clearly dated worked example and links to current model evidence.
All FPLRogue articles
Browse our guides, Gameweek decisions and reviews. Articles marked Archive retain their original forecasts and evidence; they are not current team news or transfer advice.
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Review 6 min read
FPL GW5 review: City chaos, Brighton's roar and the model receipts
Brighton humbled Arsenal, City survived an eight-goal thriller and Coventry mugged the week's fashionable Forest picks. We audit the forecasts and map the best routes into GW6–10.
Team News · Archive 3 min read
FPL GW5 press conferences: João Pedro doubt, Porro fit and all 20 clubs
All 20 GW5 manager briefings, with João Pedro's late test, Newcastle's absences and Porro's return translated into expected-minutes and FPL decisions.
Captaincy · Archive 5 min read
FPL GW5 captaincy: Haaland leads the model against Sunderland
Haaland owns a clear model lead for Sunderland at home, with Gibbs-White and Bruno the best alternatives for managers seeking a calculated swing.
Transfers · Archive 5 min read
FPL GW5 transfer targets: sell Foden and buy secure minutes
Foden's suspension creates the obvious sale; Gibbs-White, Bruno and Cherki lead the replacement routes when projection is balanced with minutes and the wider fixture plan.
Review 6 min read
FPL GW4 review: Brighton's blast and the minutes misses
Brighton brought the goals, Pascal Groß topped the points and GW4 again showed why minutes evidence matters more than chasing yesterday's fireworks.
Differentials · Archive 5 min read
FPL GW5 differentials: Muñoz leads the Forest route
Muñoz and Neco Williams headline a strict under-10%-owned shortlist, while Barry offers a cheap forward route away from the Forest concentration.
Differentials · Archive 4 min read
FPL GW4 differentials after press conferences: Tavernier, Vuskovic, Nketiah
Seven sub-10%-owned GW4 options, with Tavernier's upside, Vuskovic's defensive value and Nketiah's late-news caveat separated properly.
Transfers · Archive 4 min read
FPL GW4 transfer targets after press conferences: buy the secure minutes
The post-press transfer board compares Chelsea, Liverpool, Bournemouth, Brighton, Palace and Arsenal routes, with Gakpo's assessment the decision that changes most squads.
Team News · Archive 2 min read
FPL GW4 press conferences: Gakpo a doubt, Chelsea clear and 20-club team news
All 20 GW4 manager briefings, from Gakpo's assessment and City returns to Chelsea's clear premium picture, with the FPL minutes consequences separated from the press-room noise.
Review 6 min read
FPL GW3 review: Mitchell's double, Gakpo's assists and the haul filter
Tyrick Mitchell led GW3's 15-point chaos, Liverpool's attackers supplied the strongest follow-up case and the model's late minutes calls need an honest audit before GW4.
Lineups · Archive 5 min read
FPL GW3 predicted line-ups: Barcola benched and the big selection calls
Every club's live selection pressure, with manager quotes layered over current xMins and start probabilities from the FPLRogue model.
Team News · Archive 2 min read
FPL GW3 press conferences: every injury, return and minutes clue
All 20 clubs, the decisive manager quotes and what the final GW3 press-conference window does to expected minutes, starts and FPL plans.
Strategy · Archive 3 min read
FPL GW3 Triple Captain: final Haaland verdict after team news
The final City briefing leaves Haaland's role intact, while a refreshed model and legal £100m reference squad quantify the chip decision.
Transfers · Archive 3 min read
FPL GW3 transfer targets after the press conferences: buy the minutes
The final manager updates turn confirmed absences into urgent sales and separate secure three-week buys from tempting rotation traps.
Prices · Archive 2 min read
FPL GW3 price bands after deadline day: value needs a minutes check
Haaland and the leading budget defenders survive the transfer audit, while Manchester City's mid-priced options become harder to separate safely.
Differentials · Archive 3 min read
FPL GW3 differentials after team news: Foden upside, Gibbs-White safety
Final press-conference evidence reshapes the below-10%-owned shortlist, particularly at Manchester City, Liverpool and Crystal Palace.
Fixtures · Archive 3 min read
FPL GW3 fixture analysis after deadline day: City upside, added rotation
Manchester City still own GW3's best fixture, but three deadline-day arrivals make their individual minutes—and several rival squads—less certain.
Review 6 min read
FPL Gameweek 1 roundup: Brighton run riot, Hull humble United
Brighton supplied the biggest win and the top two FPL hauls, Hull and Brentford delivered the shocks, and the individual model picks produced lessons in points, minutes and basic employment checks.
Team News · Archive 2 min read
FPL GW1 press conferences archive: Doku out, Saka ready and all 20 clubs
Every available Gameweek 1 manager briefing, distilled into confirmed absences, genuine doubts, selection clues and the FPL decisions that follow.
Prices · Archive 4 min read
FPL Gameweek 1 Player Breakdown: Best Budget, Mid-Priced and Premium Picks
Our full Gameweek 1 guide ranks premium, mid-priced and budget players by modelled xPts, xMins and position-specific fixture difficulty, with an evidence-led watchlist for new signings.
Differentials · Archive 6 min read
FPL Gameweek 1 differentials: Cherki leads the three-week shortlist
Cherki leads the three-gameweek modelled differential shortlist, while Robinson, Matheus N. and Dalot offer contrasting value and minutes profiles below the 10.0% ownership threshold.
Captaincy · Archive 3 min read
FPL GW1 captaincy archive: the forecast and what happened
The original 15 August captaincy shortlist, preserved alongside official GW1 scores and minutes. What the forecast got wrong, and why eight players cannot establish model accuracy.
Pre-season · Archive 12 min read
What we learned from FPL pre-season: all 20 clubs assessed
The standout and underwhelming players, clean-sheet evidence, late returns, role locks and rotation risks at every Premier League club—plus current xPts and xMins.
Pre-season · Archive 11 min read
FPL pre-season roundup: Community Shield leads 14-16 August
Arsenal's 3-0 Community Shield win over Manchester City leads our final 14-16 August review, with every completed match assessed for roles, minutes and FPL relevance.
Guides 7 min read
How to play Fantasy Premier League: a 2026/27 beginner guide
Build a legal £100m squad, pick a starting XI and captain before each deadline, then use transfers and chips to respond to fixtures, form and availability.
Prices · Archive 3 min read
FPL goalkeeper combinations and spending strategy for 2026/27
An archived GW1–3 comparison of premium and budget goalkeepers: what Raya’s extra £1.5m bought over Leno, and why two playing keepers needed a separate rotation case.
Scouting · Archive 3 min read
Bruno Fernandes FPL scout report: premium output without Haaland's price
An archived look at Bruno Fernandes’s opening premium case: the £3.5m gap to Haaland, a stronger minutes estimate than cheaper alternatives, and the limits of the evidence.
Prices · Archive 6 min read
FPL price bands 2026/27: where the early model finds value
The first three-Gameweek projections favour a few expensive anchors, a deep £7.0m–£8.0m midfield and budget defenders whose value depends heavily on secure minutes.
Prices · Archive 3 min read
Best FPL budget defenders and £4.5m enablers for 2026/27
The archived opening £4.5m defender shortlist separates Robinson’s points lead from Castagne and Bassey’s stronger minutes estimates, then tests the cost of upgrading.
Fixtures · Archive 5 min read
FPL Gameweek 1 fixture analysis: target City and United early
Manchester City and Manchester United provide the strongest opening attacking routes in the three-Gameweek model, while Arsenal remain the premium defensive benchmark.
Squad drafts · Archive 5 min read
FPLRogue Gameweek 1 squad draft: the first £100m model build
Our first legal £100m draft combines Haaland and Bruno Fernandes with premium defence, then uses a deliberately cheap bench to preserve the strongest projected starting XI.
Strategy · Archive 6 min read
FPL chip strategy 2026/27: the case for a Gameweek 1 Bench Boost
The FPLRogue reference squad leaves 11.98 xPts on the GW1 bench. That makes Bench Boost viable—but minutes risk and a slightly stronger GW2 projection keep the call conditional.