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FPLRogueTools
Simulate Gameweek uncertainty

FPL Monte Carlo Simulator

A single projection hides the range of plausible outcomes. Run the Gameweek repeatedly to see downside, upside and how often a transfer or captain choice changes the result.

Model picksPro featureModel methodology included
Pro membership

Use the complete tool in Command Centre

This public page explains the model and workflow without exposing private squad data or bypassing membership access. Open Command Centre for live, personalised results.

  • Simulate thousands of Gameweek outcomes
  • Compare score floor, median and ceiling
  • Estimate the probability of beating a benchmark or rival
Open FPL Monte Carlo Simulator

How to use FPL Monte Carlo Simulator

  1. Link the squad and select the Gameweek to simulate.
  2. Choose the captain, transfers or comparison scenario.
  3. Review the outcome distribution instead of relying on one average score.
FPL Projected PointsCompare FPL projected points using expected minutes, scoring rates, fixture strength and simulation uncertainty across upcoming Gameweeks.FPL Captain PickerCompare FPL captain candidates using expected points, expected minutes, ceiling, confidence and effective ownership.FPL Team ReviewReview an FPL squad against model projections, position benchmarks and the highest-impact potential upgrades.

Make it personal in Command Centre

Use your linked squad, saved plans and membership features in the private workspace.

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